Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 1
HOM
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
HOM
34%
27%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
STI
2 - 3
HOM
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
HOM
4 - 2
MHE
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CEL
3 - 3
GLA
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
SUD
0 - 2
CEL
23%
23%
53%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
CEL
5 - 0
KIL
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
CEL
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
CEL
8 - 1
SUD
84%
11%
6%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |