Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
RAI
1 - 1
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
HIB
1 - 3
HOM
47%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 1
MHE
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 0
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
GLA
3 - 0
HOM
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
CEL
1 - 0
MHE
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
GLA
2 - 0
CEL
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
HSV
2 - 0
CEL
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
CEL
5 - 1
DUN
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 0
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |