Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Heart of Midlothian vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 0
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
TIN
2 - 4
HOM
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 1
TIN
66%
19%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 2
STJ
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 1
HOM
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 0
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
BIR
2 - 0
SIR
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 1
BIR
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SLI
1 - 0
BIR
23%
22%
55%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
BIR
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |