Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 1-5
Heart of Midlothian vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
HOM
2 - 1
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
SIR
0 - 0
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
HOM
3 - 0
SIR
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 1
GRE
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
AEK
0 - 0
XAN
61%
22%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
AEK
0 - 3
OLP
47%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
APO
0 - 1
AEK
27%
28%
45%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
AEK
2 - 0
OFI
67%
20%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
AGR
1 - 0
AEK
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | -1 |