Heart of Midlothian vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
HOM
2 - 0
HAM
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
STJ
0 - 2
HOM
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
HOM
2 - 0
CEL
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
HIB
0 - 2
HOM
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
HOM
0 - 3
KIL
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
KIL
2 - 0
ABE
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ABE
0 - 1
STJ
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GLA
2 - 0
ABE
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
ABE
1 - 2
ICT
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CEL
9 - 0
ABE
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |