Heart of Midlothian vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
HIB
1 - 2
HOM
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
HOM
3 - 0
ROS
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
HOM
1 - 4
CEL
40%
25%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 1
HOM
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
ABE
3 - 1
MHE
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CEL
7 - 0
ABE
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
ABE
0 - 1
HIB
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ABE
0 - 0
DUN
55%
23%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
MHE
1 - 2
ABE
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |