Heacham FC vs Downham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heacham FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ELY
2 - 0
HFC
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
HFC
0 - 0
HTF
14%
17%
69%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
HFC
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
HAD
1 - 0
HFC
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MUL
3 - 1
HFC
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Downham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 2
DTF
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
THE
3 - 2
DTF
61%
20%
20%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DTF
5 - 1
MUL
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 2
DTF
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 0
DTF
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |