UDS Songo vs Ferroviário Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UDS Songo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FCC
0 - 0
HCB
37%
30%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HCB
5 - 0
TEX
51%
28%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
HCB
2 - 1
COS
40%
31%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
HCB
27%
31%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
HCB
1 - 0
MAX
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FEN
2 - 0
COS
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
FEN
36%
33%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FEN
2 - 1
MAX
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LIC
0 - 1
FEN
36%
31%
33%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FEN
2 - 0
DES
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |