UDS Songo vs Ferroviário Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UDS Songo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BDP
1 - 1
HCB
39%
29%
33%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
HCB
1 - 1
COS
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LIC
0 - 1
HCB
28%
29%
42%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
HCB
2 - 0
DES
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BTF
0 - 1
HCB
22%
28%
50%
|
68 | 19 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FER
1 - 2
FER
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
BBM
1 - 1
FER
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
VIL
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
FER
43%
29%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
BTF
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 19 | 46 | 0 |