HBS vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
WKE
1 - 1
HBS
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HBS
3 - 0
JVC
40%
24%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
HBS
21%
21%
58%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
HBS
4 - 2
ADO
55%
21%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
KON
4 - 3
HBS
39%
23%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
USV
2 - 3
AFC
43%
23%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
USV
2 - 1
ADO
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
JVC
1 - 3
USV
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
USV
2 - 2
UNA
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
WKE
3 - 1
USV
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |