HBS vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
71.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
HBS
2 - 3
QUI
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
HSC
3 - 2
HBS
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
HBS
1 - 2
VOL
16%
21%
64%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
USV
5 - 0
HBS
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
OOS
0 - 0
HBS
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
OSS
0 - 0
OOS
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
WES
3 - 2
OSS
35%
23%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
OSS
1 - 1
UNA
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 3
OSS
23%
22%
56%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 1
OSS
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |