HBS vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
LIE
2 - 6
HBS
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HBS
2 - 2
DET
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
AFC
4 - 4
HBS
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HBS
2 - 3
VVS
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JVC
1 - 1
HBS
53%
23%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
LIE
2 - 6
HBS
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
EVV
0 - 1
LIE
62%
21%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LIE
1 - 3
WKE
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HSC
1 - 1
LIE
62%
19%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LIE
1 - 1
JUL
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |