HBS vs Achilles Veen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HBS
1 - 5
BEQ
60%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
EVV
0 - 0
HBS
30%
26%
45%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
HBS
2 - 0
EVV
59%
22%
18%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VVS
1 - 0
HBS
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
HBS
1 - 1
DET
34%
25%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles Veen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ACH
1 - 1
BRE
57%
20%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
RKZ
0 - 4
ACH
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
ACH
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ACH
1 - 3
SDC
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ACH
1 - 5
ODI
46%
24%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |