HBS vs Achilles 29 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ADO
3 - 3
HBS
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VVS
2 - 0
HBS
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
WKE
3 - 3
HBS
52%
23%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
HBS
1 - 0
AFC
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
EVV
5 - 3
HBS
41%
25%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 0
AFC
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 4
ACH
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 1
CHA
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ACH
6 - 0
SWZ
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HSC
0 - 4
ACH
19%
24%
58%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |