HB Køge vs Vendsyssel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
12º
12º
10
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 40 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 32 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 31 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 27 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 26 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 12 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
HBK
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 2
HBK
8%
14%
79%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HBK
3 - 4
FRE
14%
19%
67%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
4 - 1
HBK
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HBK
0 - 4
B93
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vendsyssel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 3
HIL
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
VEN
6%
12%
83%
|
64 | 24 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OBK
2 - 0
VEN
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 1
VEN
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 3
HOB
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |