HB Køge vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
11º
10º
14
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 1
HBK
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HBK
1 - 0
FCH
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HBK
2 - 4
LYN
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
AAB
2 - 0
HBK
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
HBK
0 - 1
KOL
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 0
NAE
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAE
1 - 0
HOB
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
4 - 1
NAE
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
NAE
0 - 2
MID
9%
16%
76%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAE
2 - 2
HIL
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |