Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-3
HB Køge vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 0
HBK
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
VEJ
1 - 2
HBK
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
ROS
1 - 2
HBK
31%
23%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ESB
1 - 3
HBK
71%
18%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
HEL
0 - 2
HBK
30%
23%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 0
HBK
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 0
BIF
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 0
LYN
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
OBK
0 - 1
ACH
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 0
AAB
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |