HB Køge vs Hobro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
2º
38
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HBK
0 - 1
HIL
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LFA
4 - 2
HBK
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 0
HBK
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HBK
0 - 0
VEJ
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 4
HBK
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 1
HOB
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HOB
2 - 2
HVI
20%
24%
55%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HOB
2 - 1
LFA
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 1
HOB
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HOB
3 - 1
VEN
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |