HB Køge vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LYN
1 - 3
HBK
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
HBK
1 - 0
BRØ
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
VFF
2 - 0
HBK
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
ROS
0 - 1
HBK
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 0
HBK
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ACH
1 - 1
AGF
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VEN
1 - 2
AGF
20%
24%
57%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
AGF
1 - 0
ROS
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AGF
2 - 2
SKI
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AKA
0 - 1
AGF
23%
24%
54%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |