Hawkes Bay United vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 1
HAW
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
HAW
0 - 4
AUC
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
HAW
1 - 4
HAW
42%
23%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
HAW
2 - 2
TEA
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 2
HAW
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
WEL
1 - 2
HAW
59%
20%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
EAS
8 - 0
WEL
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
TEA
5 - 2
WEL
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
WEL
1 - 1
WAI
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
WEL
1 - 1
CAN
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |