Hawkes Bay United vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AUC
4 - 2
HAW
79%
14%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
TEA
4 - 0
HAW
70%
16%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
HAW
2 - 1
HAW
17%
20%
63%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
HAW
4 - 2
WAI
54%
21%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
HAW
34%
23%
43%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
WEL
3 - 4
WAI
41%
23%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
WEL
1 - 1
SOU
47%
23%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EAS
2 - 2
WEL
81%
14%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
WEL
3 - 3
CAN
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TAS
1 - 1
WEL
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |