Hawkes Bay United vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
2 - 2
HAW
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 2
HAW
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HAW
2 - 2
CAN
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EAS
5 - 0
HAW
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
WAI
1 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WAI
3 - 0
TAS
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 5
WAI
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WAI
0 - 3
TEA
28%
23%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HAW
3 - 1
WAI
22%
22%
57%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |