Hawkes Bay United vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HAW
1 - 3
TEA
41%
23%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 1
WAI
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TEA
0 - 2
HAW
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 0
WAI
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 2
HAW
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AUC
0 - 1
WAI
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 1
WAI
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
WAI
2 - 2
CAN
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
WAI
2 - 4
TEA
26%
23%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AUC
5 - 1
WAI
74%
16%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |