Hawkes Bay United vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TEA
0 - 2
HAW
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 0
WAI
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 2
HAW
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
HAW
1 - 3
AUC
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
HAW
21%
21%
58%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
WAI
2 - 2
CAN
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
WAI
2 - 4
TEA
26%
23%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AUC
5 - 1
WAI
74%
16%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
WAI
6 - 0
SOU
74%
15%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
WAI
5 - 0
WAI
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |