Hawkes Bay United vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
HAW
1 - 1
CAN
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
OTA
1 - 3
HAW
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
HAW
1 - 1
AUC
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 5
HAW
26%
23%
52%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
HAW
4 - 0
WAI
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
OTA
1 - 4
WAI
12%
18%
70%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
2 - 3
WAI
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
WAI
4 - 0
MAN
87%
10%
4%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 9
WAI
16%
21%
63%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TEA
1 - 3
WAI
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |