Hawkes Bay United vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 4
HAW
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 1
AUC
30%
26%
43%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 3
MAN
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
TEA
2 - 5
HAW
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 0
HAW
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 1
WAI
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 0
OTA
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 2
WAI
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
WAI
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
4 - 2
AUC
51%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |