Hawkes Bay United vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 2
HAW
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HAW
4 - 2
OTA
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
HAW
1 - 3
AUC
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
7 - 0
HAW
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 1
MAN
57%
21%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
4 - 0
WAI
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 3
TEA
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 3
CAN
39%
26%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |