Hawkes Bay United vs WaiBOP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 6
HAW
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
WAN
1 - 3
HAW
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
AUC
4 - 4
HAW
70%
17%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
HAW
1 - 0
CAN
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
WAI
2 - 2
HAW
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
WaiBOP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 0
WAI
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
TEA
3 - 2
WAI
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
WAI
3 - 0
WAI
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
WAI
4 - 2
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |