Hawkes Bay United vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 2
HAW
67%
20%
14%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
HAW
2 - 0
WAI
27%
22%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
WEL
3 - 0
HAW
60%
19%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
HAW
0 - 3
CAN
43%
23%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
HAW
1 - 1
TEA
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
TEA
3 - 1
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 1
TEA
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
TEA
2 - 2
AUC
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
WAI
2 - 2
TEA
26%
23%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |