Hawkes Bay United vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 0
HAW
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
HAW
3 - 1
WAI
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HAW
1 - 3
TEA
41%
23%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 1
WAI
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TEA
0 - 2
HAW
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TEA
1 - 2
WEL
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AUC
4 - 0
TEA
54%
22%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AUC
3 - 0
TEA
45%
22%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -3 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
TEA
2 - 0
MAG
88%
9%
3%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TEA
4 - 0
HEK
88%
9%
3%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |