Hawkes Bay United vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 2
HAW
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TEA
1 - 0
HAW
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HAW
1 - 4
AUC
34%
25%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 2
HAW
47%
24%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TEA
2 - 1
WEL
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
AUC
1 - 0
TEA
65%
19%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TEA
1 - 0
HAW
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WAI
0 - 5
TEA
30%
25%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |