Hawkes Bay United vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
WAI
0 - 2
HAW
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
HAW
3 - 2
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WAI
6 - 4
HAW
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -3 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HAW
1 - 4
WAI
31%
24%
46%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TEA
4 - 2
HAW
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TEA
3 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TEA
1 - 4
AUC
38%
25%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TEA
4 - 2
HAW
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OTA
0 - 2
TEA
22%
22%
57%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |