Hawkes Bay United vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OTA
2 - 0
HAW
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
3 - 0
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WAI
3 - 0
HAW
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
HAW
1 - 1
WAI
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 0
MAN
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
33%
25%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
TEA
40%
25%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TEA
3 - 0
WAI
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AUC
4 - 2
TEA
69%
18%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |