Hawkes Bay United vs Tasman United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
WAI
7 - 2
HAW
37%
23%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
HAW
3 - 6
TEA
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
4 - 4
HAW
26%
23%
52%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
1 - 4
AUC
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAN
5 - 2
HAW
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tasman United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
TAS
1 - 2
SOU
53%
23%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
WEL
1 - 1
TAS
39%
24%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TAS
3 - 1
WAI
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TAS
2 - 2
TEA
19%
23%
59%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
2 - 3
TAS
41%
25%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |