Hawkes Bay United vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
HAW
2 - 1
CAN
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TAS
3 - 1
HAW
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HAW
0 - 2
WEL
70%
17%
13%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AUC
4 - 2
HAW
79%
14%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
TEA
4 - 0
HAW
70%
16%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 1
WAI
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
HAW
1 - 1
SOU
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EAS
6 - 0
SOU
77%
15%
7%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 1
CAN
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
TAS
5 - 0
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |