Hawkes Bay United vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TAS
2 - 4
HAW
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
4 - 0
WAI
43%
24%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
2 - 2
HAW
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 2
HAW
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 2
SOU
45%
23%
32%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
TAS
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
WAI
1 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
3 - 1
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |