Hawkes Bay United vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
HAW
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
68%
18%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TEA
3 - 4
HAW
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HAW
5 - 2
CAN
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
WAI
33%
23%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 1
SOU
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
WAN
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
HAW
25%
22%
53%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
TEA
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |