Hawkes Bay United vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
4 - 2
HAW
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 0
OTA
63%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 1
WAI
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 4
HAW
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 1
AUC
30%
26%
43%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OTA
0 - 0
AUC
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 0
OTA
63%
21%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 3
WAI
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 4
TEA
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 0
OTA
81%
14%
6%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |