Hawkes Bay United vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 1
WAI
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 4
HAW
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 1
AUC
30%
26%
43%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 3
MAN
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
TEA
2 - 5
HAW
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 3
WAI
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 4
TEA
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 0
OTA
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
3 - 3
WAI
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
OTA
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |