Hawkes Bay United vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 2
HAW
54%
22%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HAW
2 - 0
TAS
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
WEL
3 - 4
HAW
31%
22%
47%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
HAW
2 - 3
AUC
18%
23%
60%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
WEL
3 - 1
HAW
30%
22%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
WAI
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 4
EAS
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
HAW
3 - 0
EAS
6%
18%
76%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
AUF
1 - 0
EAS
2%
5%
94%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |