Hawkes Bay United vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
HAW
3 - 2
SOU
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TAS
2 - 4
HAW
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
4 - 0
WAI
43%
24%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
2 - 2
HAW
74%
15%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 2
HAW
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 0
TAS
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
WAI
0 - 2
EAS
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 2
TEA
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 2
EAS
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 1
AUC
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |