Hawkes Bay United vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
WAI
1 - 0
HAW
39%
24%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
HAW
6 - 4
HAW
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 3
HAW
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 0
WEL
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 0
HAW
61%
21%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 1
WEL
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EAS
0 - 1
AUC
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
EAS
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 2
TAS
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
TEA
0 - 0
EAS
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |