Hawkes Bay United vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
HAW
0 - 1
WAI
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
HAW
25%
22%
53%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 2
WAI
46%
24%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 1
WAN
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 1
CAN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 2
WAI
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
CAN
74%
16%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 4
WAN
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TEA
3 - 0
CAN
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |