Hawkes Bay United vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WAI
3 - 0
HAW
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
HAW
1 - 1
WAI
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TEA
1 - 3
HAW
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 2
HAW
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
5 - 0
WAI
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 4
CAN
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
WAI
22%
24%
55%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
WAI
6 - 2
CAN
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
AUC
0 - 1
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |