Hawkes Bay United vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
AUC
3 - 1
HAW
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
HAW
72%
17%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
HAW
2 - 1
WAI
50%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
HAW
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 2
TEA
28%
25%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
1 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CAN
0 - 1
WAI
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 1
CAN
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CAN
0 - 1
MAN
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |