Hawkes Bay United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
HAW
21%
21%
58%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 3
HAW
40%
25%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 2
TEA
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 1
HAW
31%
24%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HAW
5 - 5
WEL
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 0
TEA
55%
22%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AUC
4 - 2
WEL
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
TEA
2 - 2
AUC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AUC
3 - 1
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |