Hawkes Bay United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 2
HAW
47%
24%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HAW
2 - 1
WAI
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
HAW
1 - 0
WAN
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TEA
6 - 1
HAW
46%
23%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
HAW
3 - 2
WAI
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 10
AUC
21%
26%
54%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AUC
2 - 1
WAN
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 0
SOU
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
WAI
1 - 0
AUC
45%
24%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AUC
1 - 1
CAN
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |