Le Havre II vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LES
3 - 1
LEH
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
LEH
1 - 2
CAE
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LEH
0 - 1
AVR
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAU
0 - 2
LEH
42%
25%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LEH
2 - 2
STA
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 0
LUC
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 2
AVR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAU
0 - 3
LUC
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUC
4 - 1
STA
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 1
LUC
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |