Le Havre II vs Cherbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
11º
5º
41
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 0
LEH
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEH
0 - 1
DIV
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LEH
1 - 2
AFV
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GON
0 - 2
LEH
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 2
LEH
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
AGC
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 0
CHE
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MGA
1 - 0
CHE
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
SAI
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 2
OIS
23%
23%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |