Le Havre vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
NÎM
3 - 3
LHA
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LHA
1 - 1
SOC
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 3
LHA
10%
17%
73%
|
65 | 18 | 47 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 0
LHA
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
LHA
2 - 0
ARL
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
PFC
1 - 3
USB
54%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
USB
3 - 1
SPI
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
USB
4 - 1
CAL
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
USB
37%
29%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
USB
1 - 2
LUC
51%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |